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2024-12-14 11:11:17

Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)The European Central Bank gave up the idea of keeping interest rates "restrictive".Blinken arrived in Jordan to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. It is reported that US Secretary of State Blinken arrived in Jordan on Thursday to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. Blinken will meet with Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi and King Abdullah.


There are 695 listed companies in Jiangsu Province. According to the latest statistics of Jiangsu Listed Companies Association, there were 695 listed companies in Jiangsu Province by the end of November, including 15 new companies this year. Among the 695 companies, there are 216 main boards of Shanghai Stock Exchange, 110 in science and technology innovation board, 126 main boards of Shenzhen Stock Exchange (including one pure B-share), 196 Growth Enterprise Market and 47 North Stock Exchange. By geographical distribution, the total number of listed companies in Suzhou is far ahead in the province, reaching 219, 124 in Nanjing, 123 in Wuxi and 72 in Changzhou. In terms of A-shares, as of the end of November, there were 694 A-share listed companies in Jiangsu Province with a total market value of 6,745.231 billion yuan, accounting for 12.92% and 7.80% of the corresponding total of A-share listed companies respectively.Polls show that the support rate of Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao's cabinet has dropped to 26.8%. According to a report by the Japan News Agency on the 12th local time, the poll conducted by the agency in December showed that the support rate of Shi Pomao's cabinet was 26.8%, down 1.9 percentage points from last month. (CCTV News)ByteDance and Peking University set up the Joint Lab of Bean Bag Large Model System Software. On the evening of December 12th, the signing ceremony of Peking University-ByteDance Joint Lab of Bean Bag Large Model System Software and the academic seminar of "Intelligent Software Technology and Ecology for Large Model" were held in Yingjie Exchange Center, Peking University. Experts attending the meeting agreed that it is of great significance to promote the deep integration of Industry-University-Research to promote the breakthrough of core technologies of artificial intelligence. The establishment of this joint laboratory is an important milestone in collaborative innovation between schools and enterprises, and will jointly promote the technological innovation and application development of large-scale model system software based on the advantages of both parties. (Sina Technology)


Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.The news of the US stock market was delivered before the market. ① The three major stock index futures of the US stock market fell, and the market focused on PPI data. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.19%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.18%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.27%. (3) Germany's DAX index rose by 0.06%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.11%, France's CAC40 index fell by 0.04% and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.03%. ④WTI crude oil fell 0.06% to 70.25 USD/barrel. Brent crude oil fell 0.07% to $73.47/barrel. ⑤ American finance is under great pressure, with a budget deficit of $366.8 billion in November, up 17% year-on-year. ⑥ ING is bearish on the prospect of commodities next year, and gold is expected to outshine others. ⑦ Macy's department store fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors. 8 Broadcom's share price rose by 4.3% before the market closed. In the news, Apple may cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI server chips. 9 ⑨Adobe's U.S. stocks fell by about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.Enterprise IT Expenditure Survey: Google Cloud is expected to be the first choice for 50% of the respondents. Tae Kim, a science and technology columnist, wrote that according to a recent survey, Google Cloud has risen rapidly in the enterprise AI expenditure competition and may become the winner. According to the 2025 CIO survey released by Piper Sandler, 81 CIOs were asked about their budget priorities in different suppliers and technical fields. According to the survey, 87% of CIOs surveyed expect to increase the IT budget in 2025, which is the highest proportion of the survey since 2020. In this survey, the status of Google Cloud has risen significantly, surpassing Microsoft and OpenAI to become the "most strategic" AI supplier, with a support rate of 27%, a significant increase from 15% six months ago. Relatively speaking, Microsoft's support rate dropped from 33% to 24%. When asked which cloud company they plan to use to test or implement AI projects next year, 50% of the respondents chose Google Cloud, making it the top AI infrastructure provider. In addition, Harsh Kumar, a Piper semiconductor analyst, pointed out that these results are also beneficial to Invista, because all cloud companies are the main buyers of AI chips in NVIDIA. Kumar estimates that the entire AI chip market will have more than $500 billion in business opportunities by 2028.

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